GameBreaker
2008
NFL
Picks
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2008 Update: GameBreaker visitors have seen several big changes in recent seasons and 2008 is no different. All NFL picks are now available free of charge. Due to other priorities I cannot make the time commitment necessary to properly run a paid handicapping service. However, I will be adding NFL selections as time permits which includes fantasy football. I appreciate all of the positive feedback and support by past GameBreaker members and casual visitors over the years. That's one of the reasons why I've decided to continue to post selections. The goal is continuing to produce winning results and adding selections only when I feel there is an edge. Take advantage of the free picks, fantasy football info, and other links on this site. As always, best of luck this season.
How do I get the picks each week?
All picks (without analysis) will be available from the home page. However, these identical picks, complete with analysis, will be sent to those who sign up for the free Gamebreaker E-mail List (sign-up box on the home page). There is also a link to view monitored past and pending NFL selections which might include late additions.
All emails
sent are solely to inform you of updates or additional plays and your
email address is kept confidential. At NO time will I distribute
e-mail addresses or any other information. Personally,
I think there should be a special place in hell for e-mail spammers,
about 50 degrees hotter than the rest. Unfortunately, there are no
shortage of those types in the sports handicapping industry.
Why are you giving away so much for free?
I've been releasing selections for years in a variety of ways. I've also dealt with many people through this site that I'd like to see continue to win. The goal is to help with that and continue to provide a high quality football information site. But important commitments currently make it impractical to run this site as a paid service as I've done in the past. However, I continue to spend a fair amount of time taking in NFL information and researching selections. When time permits and I recognize good opportunities I'll share those opinions. If you appreciate what you're getting from the site and would like to show your support, take a few moments to check out the sponsors listed on the site.
How do you rate the picks?
Simply put, the games are rated between 3 stars (3*) and 5 stars (5*). Those are games that I feel have solid advantages. I won't waste my time or yours with anything less. Don't be misled by the term "free picks". The picks you see listed on the home page are solid 3* plays which are the equivalent of an average service play. The only difference is that you're not paying to view them. All picks will be monitored and I fully expect that when the dust settles at the end of the year, these "free plays" will again produce better results than the paid selections of many handicappers.
How many picks do you expect to make each week?
I'll only release selections when I've had the opportunity to research them to my satisfaction and feel there is an edge. The number of selections will vary from week to week. There could be 6 some weeks, other weeks I may only be one.
When do you post your picks?
Typically the NFL selections will be posted by Sunday mornings or earlier. Ideally, some or all will be posted a couple days in advance. Fantasy football info will be posted throughout the week when it's available with no set schedule.
How do you decide which games to pick each week?
I look at each side and total using a number of different methods. Essentially, proven statistical analysis and other numbers identify potential picks each week. However, numbers can only take you so far and can sometimes be misleading. There are many things that don't show up in boxscores or hilight shows and there's no substitute for watching the actual games to get a true feel for the teams.
Once that's done I analyze all the subjective factors that will potentially affect the game. That's where experience comes in, knowing which factors are important and how they typically affect the outcomes. Psychological and motivational factors are quite important to the way I view the games. I then look at all the other information such as injuries, weather, recent info, and other special variables that can come into play.
Are your picks monitored?
Absolutely. Check the links listed on the Previous Results page. Past results and links are listed for the info of my visitors. There are many handicappers that don't have their picks monitored by an independent source and often it's because they want to exaggerate their success or hide the fact they aren't very good at what they do. Some are downright awful. View these types of handicappers with extreme caution and keep in mind the industry is full of people that have no real clue about sports handicapping but want to scam you into paying for their services.
Do you offer picks for sports other than NFL football?
I have in the past but at this time I'll only be posting NFL picks and fantasy football information.